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ForzaRC computer prediction

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ForzaRC computer prediction

Post by AAR GTDon on Tue Aug 30, 2016 10:06 am

According to the IFCA computer, this is what the final result should look like in a perfect world outcome of the ForzaRC final.  It probably won't be exactly like this, but somewhat like this e.g., the higher rated drivers will finish roughly in front of the lower rated drivers.

 Race Results      
  PreraceExpectedActualPerformedPostraceGained/
PlcRacerRatingFinishFinishLikeRatingLost
1JSR Rayzer JDM2982.1801129822989.3917
2TX3 Laige2966.6832229672972.4856
3JSR Rossi2943.3613329432953.34610
4GTz Chriz2943.2784429432943.2780
5CAR Harmonic2932.8575529332932.8570
6BAM ASIX132923.6186629242923.6180
7BAM b0x2911.6057729122911.6050
8Raceboy772891.3568828912891.3560
9CAR Chemical2881.2289928812881.2280
10BAM Anto2870.706101028712870.7060
11ATTAX Johnson2866.061111128662866.0610
12Taylor2854.060121228542854.0600

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Re: ForzaRC computer prediction

Post by AAR GTDon on Thu Sep 01, 2016 10:26 am

Due to recent ratings changes, this is the most up to date computer prediction. Bear in mind that the ratings are but a snap shot of ones skill level in real time at the time of the race.  This means that it can not account for a driver having a bad day or stellar day.  

Random results having to do with lag outs, rage quits, and crashes influence everyone's ratings.  The ratings basically place you in an approximated skill level with a numeric value. You can go up or down numerically and still be within your general skill level. 

There are 8 drivers that are at the "Alien" skill level or highest, and there are 4 drivers at the "Ultra" skill level or second highest.  It would not be surprising to see one or two "Ultra's" finish in front of some "Alien's" and move up to the "Alien" level.  But it is very unlikely that any of the "Ultra's" will podium.


     
 Race Results      
  PreraceExpectedActualPerformedPostraceGained/
PlcRacerRatingFinishFinishLikeRatingLost
1JSR Rayzer JDM2982.1801129822989.3917
2TX3 Laige2966.6832229672972.4856
3JSR Rossi2943.3613329432953.34610
4GTz Chriz2943.2784429432943.2780
5Raceboy772932.3565529322932.3560
6BAM ASIX132923.6186629242923.6180
7BAM b0x2911.6057729122911.6050
8CAR Harmonic2908.8068829092908.8060
9CAR Chemical2881.2289928812881.2280
10BAM Anto2870.706101028712870.7060
11ATTAX Johnson2866.061111128662866.0610
12Taylor2854.060121228542854.0600

_________________

"Piggy" aka "The Pig"
avatar
AAR GTDon
Gold Member

Male

Posts : 11473

Local : Minnesota, USA

Registration date : 2007-04-04


Forza Profile
XBL Gamertag: AAR GTDon
IFCA Car #: 4
Infractions: 0 out of 3

http://allamericanracers.webs.com/

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